Key takeaways
- Data centers used up to 630 MW during APS’s record peak in late July 2026, about 200 MW more than during the 2025 peak and half of the year’s peak growth.1
- SRP’s Large Customer Integration Process, introduced in 2025, has new large loads pay upfront for their upgrades; new accounts of at least 20 MW face minimum billing under the E-67 plan.2
- APS’s rate case, centered on its Extra High Load Factor rate for data centers and other large users, goes to a Commission vote by December 31, 2026, with new rates expected in early 2027.3
- A June 2026 budget law pauses new data center sales tax breaks for three years, after the governor sought to end the 2013 exemption outright.48
- Mesa caps large water users under a water allowance ordinance, and Tucson now requires council approval and bars potable cooling water for large data centers outside its large-user rules.910
- Plan for heat: Phoenix logged 61 days at or above 110°F by mid-September 2024, past the prior record of 55 days set in 2023.7
01Why Arizona draws data centers, and what changed
Metro Phoenix built its data center market on low natural-hazard risk, available land and a business-friendly incentive program. Large campuses are still being started: in May 2026 Prime Data Centers broke ground on the first three buildings of a five-building, 240 MW campus in Avondale, in the West Valley.11 Established clusters sit in Chandler in the southeast Valley, Mesa to the east and Goodyear to the west, each with different utilities, water providers and city rules.
What changed is the power side. During APS’s record demand in late July 2026, data centers used up to 630 MW, nearly 7% of the peak and about 200 MW more than during the 2025 peak; their growth accounted for half of APS’s 400 MW increase over its prior record.1 Pinnacle West told investors in August 2026 that large loads are driving the need to roughly double APS’s generating capacity, now about 8.6 GW, within the next few years.12 SRP reported that large data centers contributed 5.1% of its summer 2025 peak and are its fastest-growing customer segment.2
Fig. 1Arizona utility load from data centers
Arizona sits outside an organized wholesale market for most purposes, so vertically integrated or public power utilities plan generation and transmission themselves. That makes the utility’s resource plan and its large-load rules the core of any power date. See regulated utility vs. competitive market sites and the Mountain West and Desert Southwest regional guide; for a neighboring desert market, compare Nevada.
02APS, SRP and TEP: three different paths to power
Start by confirming the utility service territory, because metro Phoenix is split between two very different providers. Arizona Public Service (APS) is an investor-owned utility regulated by the Arizona Corporation Commission (ACC). Salt River Project (SRP) is a public power entity that sets its own prices through its board. Tucson Electric Power (TEP) serves the Tucson area and is ACC-regulated.
Fig. 2Arizona’s three large utilities for data centers
ACC-regulated
APS
- Extra High Load Factor rate under review
- Formula rate proposal for large users
- Commission vote due by Dec. 31, 2026
- Plans to roughly double capacity
Public power, board-set prices
SRP
- Large Customer Integration Process (2025)
- Upfront payment for specific upgrades
- Minimum billing at 20 MW and up (E-67)
- Serves after local zoning approval
ACC-regulated, Tucson area
TEP
- Special contracts reviewed by the ACC
- Project Blue agreement approved 4–1
- Service from existing generation from 2027
- Local land use fights affect timing
SRP
In 2025 SRP introduced the Large Customer Integration Process (LCIP) for new large-load requests. After the study, SRP gives the proposed customer cost estimates for its specific upgrades, and the customer must pay those costs upfront and meet other conditions.2 SRP’s E-67 commercial and industrial plan, approved in 2025, subjects new large accounts with at least 20 MW of forecasted load to minimum billing requirements.2 SRP also states that it will plan to serve a data center once the project has proper zoning and local approval, which puts the city or county decision ahead of the power commitment.2
APS
APS’s pending rate case asks for $579.2 million in added revenue, which the ACC says could raise average residential bills by about 16%.3 The hearing, which ran from May 18 to July 7, 2026, focused on changes to the Extra High Load Factor (XHLF) rate that applies to large users such as data centers and manufacturers, and on a formula rate that would let APS adjust costs annually and assign increases caused by extra-large users to those customers.3 An administrative law judge’s recommended order is expected by late November, and the Commission must vote by December 31, 2026.3 Until then, treat any APS rate assumption as provisional. Both APS and SRP have also bought capacity on the Transwestern Desert Southwest pipeline expansion to fuel new gas plants, expected in service by the fourth quarter of 2029.13
TEP
On December 3, 2025, the ACC voted 4–1 to approve TEP’s special electric service agreement for Project Blue in Pima County, with service from TEP’s existing generation starting in 2027.14 TEP said the agreement includes protections so other customers do not subsidize the service; the Commission noted that it reviews the agreement, not the land use.14 Our guide to large-load tariffs and electric service agreements explains how these contracts are built.
03Metro Phoenix submarkets: Mesa, Chandler, Goodyear and the West Valley
Within metro Phoenix, the city often matters as much as the utility, because the city usually supplies water and controls zoning. The practical differences between submarkets come from three questions: which electric utility serves the parcel, which water provider serves it and on what terms, and whether the city has written data center rules.
- Mesa, in the East Valley, holds a 100-year assured water supply designation and applies a Large Customer Sustainable Water Allowance ordinance to users projecting half a million gallons a day or more; some must bring their own water by acquiring long-term storage credits and turning them over to the city.9
- Chandler is an established cloud cluster with older, smaller campuses and limited remaining large tracts. Check city rules and SRP or APS service on each parcel.
- Goodyear, Avondale and the wider West Valley offer larger tracts, and new campuses such as Prime’s 240 MW Avondale project are being built there.11
- Tucson and Pima County are a separate market with TEP as the utility and stricter city water and land use rules (see below).10
Before relying on a zoning path, review the city’s general plan and any pending ordinance changes. Our guides to zoning for data centers and data center zoning ordinances and overlay districts cover what to look for.
04Water: AMAs, assured supply and city rules
Arizona manages groundwater most strictly inside its Active Management Areas (AMAs), including those covering the Phoenix and Tucson areas. In June 2023 the state released a new groundwater model for most of the Phoenix AMA, and ADWR stopped processing assured water supply applications for new subdivisions that propose to rely on groundwater.5 Land-use lawyers argued that the headlines overstated the problem and that development opportunities remain.5 Those rules center on residential subdivisions; an industrial user’s path depends on its water provider and any groundwater rights it can use, so confirm the details with ADWR and the provider. The map is also still changing: in December 2024 ADWR’s director designated the Willcox groundwater basin as an AMA, the first created by a director’s decision.15
City ordinances add a second layer. Tucson’s Large Quantity Water User ordinance, adopted unanimously in August 2025, applies to customers using about 7.5 million gallons a month; it requires council approval of the initial application, a conservation plan and recycled water for at least 30% of use.6 In August 2026 the Tucson council voted 6–1 to create large-scale data centers as a new land use requiring mayor and council approval, and to prohibit potable water for cooling unless the use is covered by the large-user ordinance.10
Fig. 3Settling water for an Arizona data center site
- 01
Locate the AMA
Is the parcel inside an AMA, and which one?
- 02
Identify the provider
City, private utility or self-supplied wells.
- 03
Check city rules
Large-user allowances, approvals, potable bans.
- 04
Choose cooling
Air-cooled, closed-loop or evaporative design.
- 05
Secure supply
Storage credits, reclaimed water or rights.
Because water is a public question in every Arizona hearing, a design with low water use, such as air-cooled or closed-loop cooling, or reclaimed water, can make approvals easier at the cost of more power. See water rights and groundwater for data centers, reclaimed water for cooling and water stress and drought risk.
05Heat and cooling design
Phoenix heat is a design input, not a footnote. By mid-September 2024, Phoenix had recorded 61 days at or above 110°F, breaking the previous record of 55 days set in 2023.7 Those same afternoons drive the utilities’ annual peaks, which is when data centers now draw the most attention from regulators.1
High ambient temperatures reduce the hours when outside air alone can cool a facility and raise the power needed for mechanical cooling. Evaporative cooling works well in dry air but uses water, which runs into the rules described above. Most Arizona designs therefore trade water for electricity, and the choice affects both the utility request and the water plan. Size chillers, generators and electrical equipment for extreme design days rather than averages, and consider how hotter future summers would change that. Our guides to climate and cooling in site selection and climate change and future heat risk go deeper.
06Incentives: the Computer Data Center Program and the 2026 pause
Arizona’s Computer Data Center (CDC) Program, run by the Arizona Commerce Authority with the Department of Revenue, exempts qualifying purchases of data center equipment from state, county and local transaction privilege and use taxes.16 A project must first obtain a Letter of CDC Certification. In Maricopa or Pima County it must make at least $50 million of capital investment within five years of that letter, or $25 million in other counties; owners, operators and qualified colocation tenants can count their investment together.16 Benefits generally run up to ten full calendar years after certification, or up to 20 for a qualifying sustainable redevelopment project.16
The program is under pressure. In her January 2026 State of the State address, Governor Hobbs proposed ending the exemption, approved in 2013, which she said costs the state $38 million a year.8 Lawmakers did not repeal it; instead, the budget she signed in June 2026 imposes a three-year moratorium on new data center sales tax breaks.4
07How to screen an Arizona site
- 01Confirm the electric utility. For SRP, plan for the LCIP study, upfront upgrade payments and minimum bills at 20 MW and up.2 For APS, watch the XHLF outcome due by year-end 2026.3
- 02Get local zoning and approvals moving early, since SRP plans service after local approval and Tucson now requires council approval for large data centers.210
- 03Locate the parcel’s AMA and water provider,5 and test the cooling design against city large-user rules.96
- 04Design for extreme heat days, and price the extra power that a low-water design will need.7
- 05Model the CDC exemption both ways while the three-year pause runs.164
- 06Confirm fiber, transmission access, buildable acreage and drainage on the specific tract.
Our methodology explains how we weigh these factors, and you can get a site reviewed before you commit to a utility study or a rezoning.
Common questions
Which utility serves data centers in Phoenix?
Metro Phoenix is split mainly between APS, an investor-owned utility regulated by the Arizona Corporation Commission, and SRP, a public power utility whose board sets its prices. SRP runs new large loads through its Large Customer Integration Process, while APS’s large-load rate is being decided in a rate case due for a vote by December 31, 2026.23
Does Arizona still offer a data center sales tax exemption?
The Computer Data Center Program still exists, with investment thresholds of $50 million in Maricopa and Pima counties and $25 million elsewhere.16 But a budget law signed in June 2026 placed a three-year moratorium on new data center sales tax breaks, so check eligibility with the Commerce Authority and tax counsel.4
Can data centers use groundwater in Arizona?
It depends on location and water rights. Inside an Active Management Area, groundwater use is regulated, and since 2023 ADWR has not approved new Phoenix-area subdivisions relying on groundwater for assured supply.5 Cities add their own rules, such as Mesa’s water allowance for large users and Tucson’s ban on potable cooling water for large data centers outside its large-user ordinance.910
Notes
- 1.KJZZ, “Data centers drive half of APS peak demand growth this year compared to 2025,” 2026. kjzz.org
- 2.Salt River Project, “Data Center Facts,” n.d. srpnet.com
- 3.Arizona Corporation Commission, “What’s Next in the APS Rate Case,” 2026. azcc.gov
- 4.Bloomberg Law, “Arizona Data Center Tax Incentive Pause Signed by Governor Hobbs,” 2026. news.bloomberglaw.com
- 5.Snell & Wilmer, “Breaking News: Phoenix AMA Has an Abundance of Groundwater for the Next 100 Years and Beyond,” 2023. swlaw.com
- 6.KOLD News 13, “Tucson City Council approves new rules for large quantity water users,” 2025. kold.com
- 7.NBC News, “Summer extreme heat records,” 2024. nbcnews.com
- 8.Bloomberg Tax, “Arizona Governor Seeks to End Data Center Sales Tax Exemption,” 2026. news.bloombergtax.com
- 9.ABC15 Arizona, “Data centers consume millions of gallons of Arizona water daily,” n.d. abc15.com
- 10.Arizona Public Media, “Tucson approves new regulations for large-scale data centers,” 2026. news.azpm.org
- 11.Institutional Real Estate, Inc., “Prime Data Centers breaks ground on three buildings at its 240MW campus in Phoenix, advancing $3B investment,” 2026. irei.com
- 12.KJZZ, “Costs of generating electricity and transmission cut into APS profits despite record sales,” 2026. kjzz.org
- 13.Data Center Dynamics, “Arizona utilities acquire natural gas capacity from Energy Transfer pipeline to power data center growth,” n.d. datacenterdynamics.com
- 14.Arizona Public Media, “Arizona regulators approve TEP deal to power controversial Pima County data center,” 2025. about.azpm.org
- 15.University of Arizona Water Resources Research Center, “Willcox Groundwater Basin Designated as AMA,” 2024. wrrc.arizona.edu
- 16.Arizona Commerce Authority, “Computer Data Center Program,” n.d. azcommerce.com
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This guide is general information about data center site selection. It is not engineering, legal, tax or investment advice. Requirements vary by state, utility and county, so confirm the specifics for any site with the relevant authorities and advisors.
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